What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Somalia

(xG) 0.42 - 3.00

Gambia

Mathematical Predictions: Somalia vs Gambia

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 66.35% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Away Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Somalia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Somalia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Gambia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gambia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Somalia vs Gambia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-24T19:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Somalia scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Gambia 2.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Somalia scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Gambia scored 4.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Somalia vs Gambia match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.42 for Somalia and 3.00 for Gambia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.35%.

H2H - Somalia vs. Gambia

24 Mar 27

Somalia

(HT -)

Gambia

25 Sep 26

Gambia

2 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Somalia

Team Form (Last 6)

Somalia

17 Nov @ Bahrain 1-2

21 Nov @ Bahrain 0-1

27 Mar vs Mauritius 0-0

31 Mar @ Mauritius 0-0

25 Sep @ Gambia 2-1

29 Sep vs Ivory Coast 0-2

Gambia

14 Oct @ Seychelles 0-7

18 Nov @ Kuwait 2-2

31 Mar @ Senegal 3-1

29 May @ Iran 3-1

25 Sep vs Somalia 2-1

29 Sep @ Ghana 2-4

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.